PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tfcssfg

0xbfe3279a6e99156406bddddefa949805e0a296b7

Realised P&L
$351.11
Volume
$13.6k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$229.20

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 September 14-20? · No0.9860.997$49.86+$0.53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 17? · Yes0.9951.000$40.11+$0.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22? · No0.9691.000$32.32+$0.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 22? · Yes0.9831.000$22.08+$0.38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3? · Yes0.9631.000$18.80+$0.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 22? · Yes0.9451.000$18.73+$1.03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 23? · Yes0.9771.000$18.22+$0.42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 4? · Yes0.9681.000$14.69+$0.47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 30? · Yes0.9721.000$14.39+$0.40
Grizzlies vs. Hawks · Grizzlies0.1800.000$0.00$70.38
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 13? · No0.0380.000$0.00$6.63
Will Palantir reach $195 in February? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$2.00
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 - 15 be between 14,000,000 and 14,500,000? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.80
Spread: AC Reggiana 1919 (-1.5) · AC Reggiana 19190.1100.000$0.00$43.83
Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1900.000$0.00$90.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-18 14:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22?BUY0.97$15.02
06-18 11:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 22?BUY0.969$16.32
04-05 00:30Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $370-$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 6 – Apr 10?BUY0.11$25.47
03-25 07:39Will Fukushima United FC win on 2026-03-29?BUY0.11$53.35
03-25 00:02Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?BUY0.16$25.23
03-20 06:52Grizzlies vs. HawksBUY0.18$70.38
03-19 23:15Spread: AC Reggiana 1919 (-1.5)BUY0.11$43.83
03-19 06:00SC Paderborn 07 vs. SG Dynamo Dresden: O/U 4.5BUY0.21$166.49
03-17 11:11Karlsruher SC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5BUY0.23$120.34
03-17 03:32Jover vs. Busta: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5BUY0.22$37.74
03-16 08:58Ipswich Town FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.19$90.63
03-13 04:55Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?BUY0.16$53.44
02-22 03:24Will Palantir reach $195 in February?BUY0.0187147636$2.00
02-20 02:12Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 20?BUY0.024$2.86
02-16 22:42Will the price of Solana be above $100 on February 20?BUY0.051$10.12