KiraKiraL
0xbfdfa8a5004f658ad889412b3b1af30745e4bfa5
- Realised P&L
- $-46.58
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $4.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.195 | $4.32 | −$10.08 |
| Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.71at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
- +$11.04at 0.618Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$8.05at 0.533Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
- +$4.47at 0.375Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- +$4.45at 0.690Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 17:01 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.1299999902 | $10.00 |
| 05-03 17:00 | Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 03-12 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8323037955 | $11.83 |
| 03-12 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2342747893 | $9.84 |
| 03-12 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.0398178506 | $10.92 |
| 03-12 06:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0792157639 | $1.00 |
| 03-12 04:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.5509980717 | $2.10 |
| 03-12 04:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $0.98 |
| 03-12 01:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5145147494 | $4.54 |
| 03-11 05:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7099999811 | $10.32 |
| 03-11 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6290049572 | $0.97 |
| 03-09 11:14 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.66 | $0.22 |
| 03-09 11:09 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.3753391426 | $10.63 |
| 03-09 11:04 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | SELL | 0.4904612546 | $10.63 |
| 03-09 11:00 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.4499999931 | $9.76 |