harvest
0xbfd6292a8513ce9e721f582fce95b34f683842e9
- Realised P&L
- $-143.73
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $0.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.090 | $0.13 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$-0.09at 0.190Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$-0.09at 0.560Will Trump say "Alexander" or "Hamilton" during Tribute to America Rally?
- +$-0.10at 0.700Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
- +$-0.16at 0.460Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 08:52 | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.4990909091 | $5.49 |
| 07-04 08:52 | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.5047169811 | $26.75 |
| 07-04 08:52 | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.63 | $5.04 |
| 07-04 05:28 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.29 |
| 07-04 03:41 | Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.5021659086 | $23.19 |
| 07-04 03:24 | Will Trump say "Marxist" or "Marxism" in July? | SELL | 0.0112195122 | $0.46 |
| 07-03 23:49 | Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.68 | $50.32 |
| 07-03 09:13 | Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.215037037 | $7.26 |
| 07-03 08:24 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2667327273 | $14.67 |
| 07-03 07:30 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.3491412742 | $11.34 |
| 07-03 07:30 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.08 |
| 07-03 03:52 | Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $17.05 |
| 07-02 23:23 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.15 | $4.05 |
| 07-02 21:30 | Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $9.75 |
| 07-02 14:50 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $7.00 |