WING0
0xbfcc04e30db152eb00a4c3d616abee868a304858
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $101.5k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.305 | $6.3k | −$726.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$564.27at 0.920Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$465.74at 0.912Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31?
- +$387.24at 0.917Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$315.23at 0.903Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
- +$299.29at 0.934Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 23:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.34 | $7.1k |
| 06-22 20:09 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.5k |
| 06-22 20:08 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9757689034 | $6.5k |
| 05-30 19:52 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9175409569 | $6.1k |
| 05-30 19:26 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9872077249 | $6.1k |
| 05-11 11:12 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.968441002 | $6.0k |
| 04-24 20:10 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.967968856 | $5.8k |
| 04-24 20:09 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.994 | $5.8k |
| 04-24 20:08 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.8k |
| 03-02 19:11 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | BUY | 0.9027446997 | $2.9k |
| 03-02 19:11 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? | BUY | 0.9378861681 | $2.4k |
| 02-23 02:24 | Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.9939866633 | $5.3k |
| 01-02 21:09 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31? | BUY | 0.9120345471 | $4.8k |
| 12-01 11:23 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.951113498 | $4.6k |
| 11-17 07:42 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by November 30? | BUY | 0.9861579078 | $4.5k |