0xbFCA85216aFab37122d02F6D873551E2
0xbfca85269afab37122d02f6d8729951e26b38d8a
- Realised P&L
- $-266.25
- Volume
- $238.3k
- Markets traded
- 922
- Open portfolio
- $668.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded922
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.46at 0.829Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$87.62at 0.146US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
- +$80.23at 0.161Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on February 23?
- +$75.06at 0.402Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
- +$55.51at 0.600U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 01:18 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná? | BUY | 0.9723091332 | $80.00 |
| 09-15 01:18 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.3769999963 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 00:58 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro? | BUY | 0.89 | $44.50 |
| 09-15 00:53 | Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | BUY | 0.8279410887 | $300.00 |
| 06-11 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 11? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 11? | BUY | 0.8829999934 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 18:49 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |
| 06-08 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 8? | BUY | 0.8899999986 | $50.00 |
| 06-07 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7? | SELL | 0.0229164212 | $5.99 |
| 06-07 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 7? | BUY | 0.0178563003 | $5.00 |
| 06-07 18:44 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7? | BUY | 0.4243097946 | $49.99 |
| 06-07 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7? | BUY | 0.2155601978 | $30.96 |
| 06-06 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $33.95 |
| 06-05 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.9949215126 | $100.00 |
| 06-04 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 4? | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $50.00 |