PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NAA

0xbfc3317656b23fbf131544523370d2a54266b21f

Realised P&L
$5.1k
Volume
$641.8k
Markets traded
465
Open portfolio
$339.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded465
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0080.502$301.15+$296.28
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison? · Yes0.1990.071$38.30$69.06
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0070.001$0.02$0.29
North Korea missile launch by November 15? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$23.45
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$9.49
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 12? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$45.23
Will India win Miss Universe 2025? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$4.01
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 26? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00$139.93
Will Chile win Miss Universe 2025? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$23.09
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026? · Yes0.4480.000$0.00$44.78
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in November? · No0.0090.000$0.00$13.12
TrumpRX launched by February 28, 2026? · No0.2750.000$0.00$20.28
Another crypto hack over $100m in 2025? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$229.13
Will the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be less than 18,000,000? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$5.03
Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? · No0.4100.000$0.00$200.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 02:23US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?SELL0.83$52.75
06-27 10:43Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?SELL0.87$1.07
06-27 10:39U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0108732978$6.22
05-24 15:56Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?SELL0.36$14.86
05-24 15:55Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?SELL0.33$66.00
05-24 15:55Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?SELL0.3$60.00
05-24 15:55Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?SELL0.16$32.00
05-24 15:53Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?BUY0.1343187219$20.35
05-24 15:49Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?SELL0.1$44.29
05-24 15:49Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?SELL0.981$177.99
02-22 11:54Don Lemon charges dropped?SELL0.47$14.95
02-16 01:44Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?BUY0.0593347933$19.51
02-13 18:42Khamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026?BUY0.15$3.60
02-13 15:49Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?SELL0.371$37.10
02-13 15:49Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?SELL0.3746032087$128.89