NAA
0xbfc3317656b23fbf131544523370d2a54266b21f
- Realised P&L
- $5.1k
- Volume
- $641.8k
- Markets traded
- 465
- Open portfolio
- $339.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded465
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$946.49at 0.347Park Sung-jae in jail by November 15?
- +$854.45at 0.818Will the U.S. national debt hit $38 trillion in 2025?
- +$676.90at 0.438Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
- +$661.83at 0.587Will the government shutdown end November 13?
- +$631.11at 0.139North Korea missile launch by November 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 02:23 | US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $52.75 |
| 06-27 10:43 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.07 |
| 06-27 10:39 | U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0108732978 | $6.22 |
| 05-24 15:56 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $14.86 |
| 05-24 15:55 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | SELL | 0.33 | $66.00 |
| 05-24 15:55 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 05-24 15:55 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $32.00 |
| 05-24 15:53 | Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | BUY | 0.1343187219 | $20.35 |
| 05-24 15:49 | Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $44.29 |
| 05-24 15:49 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | SELL | 0.981 | $177.99 |
| 02-22 11:54 | Don Lemon charges dropped? | SELL | 0.47 | $14.95 |
| 02-16 01:44 | Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February? | BUY | 0.0593347933 | $19.51 |
| 02-13 18:42 | Khamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.60 |
| 02-13 15:49 | Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.371 | $37.10 |
| 02-13 15:49 | Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.3746032087 | $128.89 |