Gabyyyyyye
0xbfc006eff653187d6a6ad5e153fc5195bbcd8a4d
- Realised P&L
- $-17.0k
- Volume
- $344.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $8.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.018 | $8.78 | −$2.56 |
| Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.04 |
| Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.59 |
| Another Israel strike on Damascus by July 31? · Yes | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$725.96 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.6k |
| Will the US strike Syria next? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.93 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$260.83 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.684 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$576.97at 0.222Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$380.13at 0.110Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$164.08at 0.035Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$102.57at 0.515Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$73.13at 0.406Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-15 09:49 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $165.72 |
| 01-15 01:07 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.032 | $2.29 |
| 01-15 01:02 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $92.49 |
| 01-15 00:57 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.062 | $12.40 |
| 01-15 00:56 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.0636097409 | $4.07 |
| 01-14 22:12 | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $15.04 |
| 01-14 21:57 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.1k |
| 01-14 21:57 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $161.19 |
| 01-14 21:53 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.9k |
| 01-14 21:53 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $172.12 |
| 01-14 21:52 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $96.00 |
| 01-14 21:51 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $32.18 |
| 01-14 21:51 | US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $95.11 |
| 01-14 21:11 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.207 | $1.03 |
| 01-14 01:01 | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $9.42 |