PaulPietusma
0xbfbd6c6ce1896e894179c61817057e5e68210236
- Realised P&L
- $-253.98
- Volume
- $82.7k
- Markets traded
- 5,153
- Open portfolio
- $13.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,153
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.25at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12PM ET
- +$43.66at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$40.09at 0.222Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$31.51at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$30.90at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 06:38 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $11.53 |
| 09-02 20:23 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.10 |
| 09-02 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $37.00 |
| 09-02 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 2? | SELL | 0.999 | $36.17 |
| 09-02 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 2? | BUY | 0.966410472 | $35.00 |
| 09-01 10:19 | Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? | SELL | 0.0433378547 | $16.29 |
| 08-31 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.60 |
| 08-31 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 08-31 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.25 |
| 08-31 12:55 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.34 |
| 08-31 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.7623762301 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-31 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.1333333333 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.25 |