PolyBot

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Traders

PaulPietusma

0xbfbd6c6ce1896e894179c61817057e5e68210236

Realised P&L
$-253.98
Volume
$82.7k
Markets traded
5,153
Open portfolio
$13.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,153
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? · Yes0.0800.044$13.51−$11.06
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.2360.000$0.00−$2.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.3160.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.0190.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.0930.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 31? · Yes0.1330.000$0.00−$1.00
Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik · Jakub Mensik0.8600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Up0.2230.000$0.00−$2.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 26? · No0.8600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET · Up0.6310.000$0.00−$6.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Down0.4780.000$0.00−$4.70
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies · Baltimore Orioles0.7700.000$0.00−$15.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.1150.000$0.00−$3.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 06:38Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?BUY0.08$11.53
09-02 20:23Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 2?SELL0.999$38.10
09-02 18:06Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 2?BUY0.97$37.00
09-02 18:05Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 2?SELL0.999$36.17
09-02 16:12Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 2?BUY0.966410472$35.00
09-01 10:19Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?SELL0.0433378547$16.29
08-31 17:57Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 31?SELL0.55$3.60
08-31 16:58Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?SELL0.999$5.30
08-31 16:21Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 31?SELL0.999$5.25
08-31 12:55Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 31?SELL0.999$6.34
08-31 12:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 31?BUY0.7623762301$5.00
08-31 12:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 31?BUY0.95$5.00
08-31 12:05Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on August 31?BUY0.9399999962$5.00
08-31 12:05Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 31?BUY0.1333333333$1.00
08-31 12:04Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 31?SELL0.999$5.25