AlexMirr
0xbfbad64a7634dd5d6446aa72e9d114181aef033d
- Realised P&L
- $10.17
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $7.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.81at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?
- +$21.26at 0.291Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1?
- +$19.50at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?
- +$19.40at 0.515Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?
- +$18.79at 0.373Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 10-02 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 10-01 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.55 | $5.50 |
| 10-01 15:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-30 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 09-30 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 09-30 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-30 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.50 |
| 09-29 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 09-28 11:22 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 11:21 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.145 | $1.45 |
| 09-28 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-27 15:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-26 21:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-25 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |