AlexMirr
0xbfbad64a7634dd5d6446aa72e9d114181aef033d
- Realised P&L
- $38.04
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $59.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.20at 0.220Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?
- +$21.60at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 1?
- +$19.70at 0.507Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?
- +$19.50at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?
- +$19.42at 0.339Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.86 |
| 08-08 17:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3988369388 | $17.15 |
| 08-08 07:02 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.49 | $14.70 |
| 08-08 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.28 | $12.04 |
| 08-07 09:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.62 | $20.46 |
| 08-06 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.15 |
| 08-06 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 08-06 12:23 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.60 |
| 08-06 12:22 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.10 |
| 08-06 10:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 08-06 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 08-05 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.33 | $18.15 |
| 08-05 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.3393156604 | $28.90 |