PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

AlexMirr

0xbfbad64a7634dd5d6446aa72e9d114181aef033d

Realised P&L
$10.17
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$7.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 08:28Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3?BUY0.38$3.80
10-02 08:28Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on October 3?BUY0.44$4.40
10-01 15:42Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 2?BUY0.55$5.50
10-01 15:42Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 2?BUY0.29$2.90
09-30 18:03Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1?SELL0.44$4.40
09-30 18:02Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 1?BUY0.43$4.30
09-30 10:50Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1?BUY0.53$5.30
09-30 04:30Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 30?BUY0.35$3.50
09-29 05:00Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 29?BUY0.54$5.40
09-28 11:22Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28?BUY0.6$3.00
09-28 11:21Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?SELL0.145$1.45
09-28 11:19Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on September 28?BUY0.54$2.70
09-27 15:05Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?BUY0.46$4.60
09-26 21:43Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 27?BUY0.62$3.10
09-25 15:43Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26?BUY0.33$3.30