MBalKing
0xbfb86e0cb1dfcd38ee3637d2a0a0cba8a46fa958
- Realised P&L
- $-138.41
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $0.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.58at 0.118Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$14.52at 0.036Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
- +$10.95at 0.158Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$10.62at 0.389Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$8.59at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 12:59 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1944445955 | $51.67 |
| 02-09 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2499381403 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 03:32 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.3489948875 | $71.68 |
| 02-06 03:04 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1850686304 | $38.01 |
| 02-06 03:03 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.1995145692 | $38.00 |
| 02-05 17:15 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.1177068996 | $22.42 |
| 02-05 17:14 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.3098016667 | $22.31 |
| 02-04 09:09 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 20:14 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.1576527778 | $11.35 |
| 02-03 20:12 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.00 |
| 02-03 20:11 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $17.38 |
| 02-02 17:02 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.3889999866 | $6.77 |
| 02-02 17:01 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.0909309657 | $6.84 |
| 02-01 15:34 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999882 | $5.94 |
| 01-21 09:01 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.246 | $5.94 |