borchi
0xbfb3b7bd96f923fc22ecc8fb416d4dc5d3b24b43
- Realised P&L
- $22.1k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 410
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded410
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.8kat 0.555Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$8.5kat 0.942Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$7.8kat 0.314Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$4.2kat 0.926Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$1.7kat 0.819Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 09:54 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9632466399 | $6.7k |
| 08-17 05:28 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.9650033928 | $13.5k |
| 08-17 05:20 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.97 | $265.64 |
| 07-29 06:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $3.48 |
| 07-29 06:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.936 | $9.4k |
| 07-25 11:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.5k |
| 07-25 04:33 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $511.03 |
| 07-24 01:43 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $11.60 |
| 07-03 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1903939834 | $25.00 |
| 07-01 02:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.92 | $103.04 |
| 06-26 09:34 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $240.74 |
| 06-26 09:25 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $684.39 |
| 06-23 10:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23? | BUY | 0.96 | $488.81 |
| 06-23 10:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23? | BUY | 0.969537284 | $1.8k |
| 06-22 09:11 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $748.92 |