borchi
0xbfb3b7bd96f923fc22ecc8fb416d4dc5d3b24b43
- Realised P&L
- $25.6k
- Volume
- $2.23M
- Markets traded
- 410
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded410
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.565 | $2.1k | −$1.1k |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.54 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 1? · Up | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies · New York Mets | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.99 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? · No | 0.659 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.3k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? · No | 0.213 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$436.04 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May? · No | 0.383 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.4k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? · No | 0.415 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$476.02 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card) · Kyoji Horiguchi | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.8kat 0.556Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
- +$8.5kat 0.942Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
- +$7.8kat 0.314Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$4.2kat 0.926Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
- +$1.7kat 0.819Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 09:54 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9632466399 | $6.7k |
| 08-17 05:28 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.9650033928 | $13.5k |
| 08-17 05:20 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | SELL | 0.97 | $265.64 |
| 07-29 06:16 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $3.48 |
| 07-29 06:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.936 | $9.4k |
| 07-25 11:47 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.5k |
| 07-25 04:33 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $511.03 |
| 07-24 01:43 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $11.60 |
| 07-03 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1903939834 | $25.00 |
| 07-01 02:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.92 | $103.04 |
| 06-26 09:34 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $240.74 |
| 06-26 09:25 | OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $684.39 |
| 06-23 10:38 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23? | BUY | 0.96 | $488.81 |
| 06-23 10:36 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 23? | BUY | 0.969537284 | $1.8k |
| 06-22 09:11 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $748.92 |