chatship
0xbfb061d630984ae00c83e1c3527f78ccd4eae51a
- Realised P&L
- $-330.60
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $25.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.77at 0.700Will Ethereum hit $4,250 by January 31, 2025?
- +$41.04at 0.880Will Ethereum reach $4,700 October 13-19?
- +$6.32at 0.952Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 8 above $165?
- +$6.09at 0.943Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?
- +$6.02at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $128,000 September 22-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 00:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 24? | BUY | 0.94 | $15.16 |
| 02-17 01:55 | Will "Wicked: For Good" win Best Costume Design at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | BUY | 0.05 | $6.30 |
| 02-16 20:09 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $2.50? | BUY | 0.045 | $11.23 |
| 02-15 21:07 | Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.31 |
| 02-15 18:46 | Will XRP dip to $1.10 February 9-15? | BUY | 0.018 | $2.81 |
| 02-15 10:16 | Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.035 | $7.36 |
| 02-12 13:33 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 14 be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.13 |
| 02-10 06:27 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? | BUY | 0.053 | $14.94 |
| 01-21 12:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 25? | BUY | 0.027 | $4.81 |
| 12-27 14:49 | Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship? | BUY | 0.078 | $10.34 |
| 12-25 16:39 | Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship? | BUY | 0.026 | $4.21 |
| 12-25 10:33 | Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of December 22 above $510? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.82 |
| 12-23 11:52 | Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of December 22 above $295? | BUY | 0.036 | $4.75 |
| 12-21 11:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 15-21? | BUY | 0.025 | $3.26 |
| 12-19 06:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 20? | BUY | 0.0175042987 | $2.26 |