PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xxxxr56

0xbfa4a27e8328fa1cddcd8e7d816ad612be6bb2b2

Realised P&L
$286.91
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$46.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.983$30.61+$0.61
Fuse FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No0.8100.963$6.51+$1.03
Fuse FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.6600.815$5.71+$1.08
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9911.000$2.02+$0.02
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9910.999$1.51+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-22 12:19Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 27?BUY0.9979997781$3.31
02-22 12:18Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 26?BUY0.996$3.00
02-22 12:18Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 26?BUY0.996$3.00
02-22 12:18Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 25?BUY0.998$2.00
02-22 12:18Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 25?BUY0.998$3.00
02-22 12:17Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9909999967$1.50
02-22 12:17Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9909999995$2.00
02-22 12:16Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9629999993$30.00
11-07 13:59Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.96$43.99
11-06 07:44Blues vs. SabresBUY0.45$239.11
09-28 09:02Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.993$45.50
08-31 07:55Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?BUY0.9980000001$45.41
07-17 05:28Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?SELL0.8210161554$45.23
07-06 13:25Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?BUY0.99$54.54
03-29 08:57Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?BUY0.9889999999$52.11