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Traders

clausunder

0xbfa4223fe2107a2c4229195ba1d9fb4893b62e79

Realised P&L
$164.48
Volume
$22.0k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$49.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government? · Yes0.0770.355$23.15+$18.15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1230.075$12.20$7.80
Romanian parliament dissolved by August 31? · No0.5001.000$5.00+$2.50
Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026? · Yes0.1390.135$4.87$0.13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0900.065$3.61$1.39
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR? · Yes0.0380.021$0.64$0.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 09:05Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of AUR?BUY0.038$1.14
07-17 09:03Romanian parliament dissolved by August 31?SELL0.06$0.30
07-03 05:36Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?BUY0.0766852147$5.00
07-03 05:35Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?BUY0.1386138397$5.00
07-03 05:31Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
07-03 05:27Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.1229999939$20.00
07-29 17:46Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.75$34.79
07-26 04:34Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?SELL0.16$5.98
05-18 18:31Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?SELL0.85$57.30
05-18 18:01Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?BUY0.368$7.24
05-18 17:53Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?BUY0.71$49.70
05-18 14:16Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?SELL0.64$56.96
05-18 12:02Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?BUY0.5799999966$51.52
05-14 17:45Will George Simion win by 6–12%?SELL0.17$5.37
05-13 18:50Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?BUY0.13$13.00
Trader clausunder · PolyBot Pro