4618
0xbfa41f44e58e10de3c74ad00af749efea6356ba3
- Realised P&L
- $-10.4k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $641.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.021Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 22?
- +$7.7kat 0.014Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 22?
- +$5.0kat 0.017Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 23?
- +$4.8kat 0.257Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27?
- +$2.2kat 0.117Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 08:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.022 | $146.51 |
| 10-04 16:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.017 | $6.11 |
| 10-04 16:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.0192973967 | $109.67 |
| 10-04 16:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.019 | $10.98 |
| 10-04 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.0239962321 | $31.84 |
| 10-04 16:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.018 | $9.22 |
| 10-04 16:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7? | BUY | 0.016 | $23.92 |
| 10-03 20:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.0198119706 | $53.21 |
| 10-03 20:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.015 | $7.57 |
| 10-03 20:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.0131234568 | $106.30 |
| 10-02 22:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0279485746 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 22:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.008 | $8.04 |
| 10-02 22:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.0259958264 | $38.24 |
| 10-02 22:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.0158418926 | $9.41 |
| 10-02 22:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4? | BUY | 0.015 | $7.77 |