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Traders

4618

0xbfa41f44e58e10de3c74ad00af749efea6356ba3

Realised P&L
$-10.4k
Volume
$1.57M
Markets traded
257
Open portfolio
$641.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded257
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7? · Yes0.0160.010$177.33−$100.37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 8? · Yes0.0160.023$175.03+$53.28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 9? · Yes0.0150.013$141.13−$25.93
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 8? · Yes0.0150.006$92.78−$128.32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6? · Yes0.0200.017$55.45−$11.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 3? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$102.76
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? · No0.0500.000$0.00−$81.76
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 18? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$169.54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30? · No0.0420.000$0.00−$89.42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 4? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$78.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 3? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$177.88
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on September 28? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$122.44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 29? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$79.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 22? · No0.0810.000$0.00−$196.73
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 31-September 6? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$124.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 08:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 8?BUY0.022$146.51
10-04 16:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?BUY0.017$6.11
10-04 16:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?BUY0.0192973967$109.67
10-04 16:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?BUY0.019$10.98
10-04 16:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 6?BUY0.0239962321$31.84
10-04 16:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?BUY0.018$9.22
10-04 16:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 7?BUY0.016$23.92
10-03 20:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 9?BUY0.0198119706$53.21
10-03 20:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 9?BUY0.015$7.57
10-03 20:10Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 9?BUY0.0131234568$106.30
10-02 22:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?BUY0.0279485746$50.00
10-02 22:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 3?BUY0.008$8.04
10-02 22:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 3?BUY0.0259958264$38.24
10-02 22:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4?BUY0.0158418926$9.41
10-02 22:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 4?BUY0.015$7.77
Trader 4618 · PolyBot Pro