0xbfa2eebed2ceed6c636a24911ddf2e85b204d723
0xbfa2eebed2ceed6c636a24911ddf2e85b204d723
- Realised P&L
- $2.20
- Volume
- $158.96
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $9.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 1.000 | $2.78 | +$1.78 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.790 | $1.88 | +$0.88 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? · No | 0.590 | 0.955 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No | 0.750 | 0.755 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.250 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.530 | 0.400 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.81at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$2.87at 0.352Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $107.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$2.55at 0.379Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $345 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.472Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.68at 0.480S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:33 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:00 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:35 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:40 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 15:39 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999747 | $1.52 |
| 09-23 07:29 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399998929 | $1.52 |
| 09-19 06:13 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.46 |
| 09-18 01:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099998557 | $1.52 |
| 09-17 04:57 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.52 |
| 09-17 04:43 | Meta (META) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.6099999117 | $1.52 |
| 09-16 08:05 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5299999128 | $1.52 |
| 09-08 05:42 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7199996968 | $1.52 |