aldetr
0xbf922012ef469128b8892c676797879a709d150f
- Realised P&L
- $-157.80
- Volume
- $42.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,242
- Open portfolio
- $49.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,242
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.508 | 0.805 | $16.10 | +$5.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.527 | 0.785 | $15.10 | +$4.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 4? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.265 | $9.14 | −$0.86 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.515 | $9.03 | −$0.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.12at 0.211Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 11?
- +$54.90at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 3?
- +$50.96at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 9?
- +$45.67at 0.067Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 28?
- +$38.93at 0.338Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on October 4? | BUY | 0.29 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.5085 | $10.17 |
| 10-03 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.52674987 | $10.13 |
| 10-03 19:01 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.54 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.44 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.5771493729 | $10.12 |
| 10-03 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.4433978873 | $10.07 |
| 10-03 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.56 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.2786497435 | $10.32 |
| 10-02 22:06 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.66 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.7 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.73 | $9.99 |
| 10-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.4975490196 | $10.15 |