PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbf8abb2d75e6f63258c7079fcc7d85f1a723a44a

Realised P&L
$20.16
Volume
$16.0k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$3.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$2.50$2.50
Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? · No0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 13:26Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
09-17 05:23Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
09-15 12:31Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
09-15 05:40Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.50
09-14 16:11Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.002$1.00
08-24 16:46Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.001$0.50
08-24 04:24Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$1.00
08-16 08:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17?BUY0.001$1.00
08-08 07:03Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 17:05Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 17:05Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
08-01 17:05Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-24 21:39Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-23 11:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.5099998317$1.00
07-23 11:52Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.5$1.00