0xbf8abb2d75e6f63258c7079fcc7d85f1a723a44a
- Realised P&L
- $20.16
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $3.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $2.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.73at 0.001Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
- +$1.76at 0.543Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:26 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 05:23 | Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-15 12:31 | Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 05:40 | Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 16:11 | Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 16:46 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-24 04:24 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 08:44 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 07:03 | Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:05 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 21:39 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |