0xBF733D3BeB2dF198c087cA3fd7B0c2c771177dB7-1777330326050
0xbf733d3beb2df198c087ca3fd7b0c2c771177db7
- Realised P&L
- $-36.51
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $21.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.205 | $21.38 | −$3.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Up | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Up | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.91 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 in May? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.48 |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.64 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET · Up | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder · Lakers | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.10at 0.477Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?
- +$5.68at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
- +$5.10at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$5.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$4.21at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:48 | Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.2429999996 | $25.28 |
| 07-06 18:39 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 05-31 06:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $3.88 |
| 05-31 06:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 06:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 06:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 06:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $5.15 |
| 05-31 06:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3300970611 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 05:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $9.46 |
| 05-31 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $1.30 |
| 05-31 05:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 05:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 05-31 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |
| 05-31 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |