v.cipher
0xbf6ecb3c9a9d00983726f5c99affc4a68c748c23
- Realised P&L
- $-16.98
- Volume
- $304.09
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $35.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.668 | 0.675 | $17.40 | +$0.18 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.382 | $16.35 | +$1.35 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.015 | $2.01 | −$2.99 |
| Aster all time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.215 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| BNB all time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.446 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.00at 0.667Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:53 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.6678668491 | $17.22 |
| 07-20 12:58 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3499999918 | $15.00 |
| 07-20 12:58 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0385991787 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 21:09 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.04 |
| 06-16 08:35 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6599999801 | $9.94 |
| 10-23 14:17 | BNB all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.439999983 | $4.14 |
| 10-23 14:12 | Aster all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.2149200565 | $11.00 |
| 10-23 14:12 | BNB all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.84 |