0xbf6d7b9eacb394a83e7da7f4dcdcc4c2c101cc60
0xbf6d7b9eacb394a83e7da7f4dcdcc4c2c101cc60
- Realised P&L
- $-201.79
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $0.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Antonio Tajani be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.003 | $0.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.18at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.96at 0.261Will England win on 2026-07-18?
- +$0.38at 0.840Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$0.07at 0.933Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$-1.01at 0.090Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 12:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2709999722 | $5.92 |
| 07-20 21:49 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0479999551 | $1.00 |
| 07-20 21:49 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0879999226 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:20 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 13:18 | Will Antonio Tajani be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.0149999854 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 15:19 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0329999991 | $35.00 |
| 06-12 21:11 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999996 | $50.00 |
| 06-10 05:41 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0529999513 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 05:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1609998681 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 18:38 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0339999936 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 11:34 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $10.14 |
| 04-14 14:01 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999986 | $19.90 |
| 04-14 13:14 | Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.0309999985 | $19.90 |
| 04-01 09:09 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.2299999317 | $2.46 |
| 04-01 09:09 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | BUY | 0.0899999207 | $1.01 |