0xbf61cc975f03ebe3ca3a3ff16d930aadba7721ab
0xbf61cc975f03ebe3ca3a3ff16d930aadba7721ab
- Realised P&L
- $-400.86
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,444
- Open portfolio
- $17.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,444
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.50at 0.146ITF Champaign: Ronit Karki vs Lev Seidman
- +$21.40at 0.278Will Trump say "Supreme Court" during Michigan remarks?
- +$13.34at 0.280Hamburg European Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Julia Stusek
- +$11.81at 0.410Will Trump say "Melania" during White House Correspondents Dinner?
- +$11.21at 0.159Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 16:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 16:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 11:56 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 11:56 | Will "Unabomber" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 11:55 | Will "Best of the Best" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 11:52 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.998999502 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 11:02 | Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 26? | BUY | 0.998999502 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 02:07 | Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 01:50 | Will the #1 global Netflix show have at least 17 million views this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 01:26 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 15 million views this week? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 01:25 | Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |