PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

paullyd

0xbf6030578506e3302d6e025a7648aca6649ffebb

Realised P&L
$-472.30
Volume
$33.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.3580.285$1.1k−$280.42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.3370.295$956.95−$136.39
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.3390.285$379.05−$72.25
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3250.305$245.79−$16.21
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2800.265$94.64−$5.36
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.0700.055$93.50−$25.50
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0890.055$82.50−$51.50
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6300.475$37.70−$12.30
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0210.029$28.50+$7.70
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0800.107$26.75+$6.75
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0090.016$16.00+$6.44
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0900.070$15.51−$4.57
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0100.007$6.00−$2.00
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3000.265$4.42−$0.58
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.0070.004$2.80−$2.80

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 03:04Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$5.00
10-26 03:03Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$2.30
10-26 03:03Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
10-26 00:06Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.003$7.50
10-25 23:55Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.01$10.00
10-25 23:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.018$18.00
10-25 23:44Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.029$8.70
10-25 23:33Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.065$26.00
10-25 23:06Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.16$56.00
10-22 15:56Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.299999994$5.00
10-14 16:11Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.37$96.20
10-14 16:10Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1$40.00
10-14 16:08Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.37$148.00
10-06 21:12Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.0083419483$2.18
10-06 21:10Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.08$20.00