trulyalya1
0xbf5fe8bfc9ec6e7ff7a311ea85cfc0d2901ac035
- Realised P&L
- $39.2k
- Volume
- $941.7k
- Markets traded
- 470
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded470
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.592Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$3.3kat 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?
- +$2.8kat 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
- +$2.8kat 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?
- +$2.7kat 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:04 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.2056804717 | $761.43 |
| 09-17 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $1.5k |
| 09-16 16:19 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6799999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-16 16:19 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | BUY | 0.5889393073 | $1000.00 |
| 09-16 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $750.00 |
| 09-16 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.6k |
| 09-16 15:42 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.023 | $34.62 |
| 09-16 10:34 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0332225739 | $50.00 |
| 09-16 10:34 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2160982383 | $800.00 |
| 09-16 10:29 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $9.9k |
| 09-16 10:09 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.76 | $10.0k |
| 09-15 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.5199999927 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 16:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.8k |
| 09-14 16:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $1.5k |
| 09-13 16:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $750.00 |