PolyBot

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Traders

trulyalya1

0xbf5fe8bfc9ec6e7ff7a311ea85cfc0d2901ac035

Realised P&L
$19.3k
Volume
$1.10M
Markets traded
520
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded520
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6370.725$1.1k+$137.78
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? · Yes0.6470.655$1.0k+$12.23
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? · Yes0.6310.625$985.55−$9.45
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5700.525$921.05−$78.95
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election? · Yes0.6880.620$900.87−$99.13
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? · Yes0.5730.515$898.61−$101.39
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6510.581$892.08−$107.92
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? · Yes0.6120.545$890.11−$109.88
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? · Yes0.6450.555$860.68−$139.32
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? · Yes0.6200.505$814.92−$185.08
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.395$647.54−$352.46
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 6? · Down0.5270.000$0.00−$1.5k
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? · Down0.5090.000$0.00−$3.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 8? · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$724.58
Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 07:47Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?BUY0.630995535$995.00
10-28 07:47Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6372079456$1000.00
10-28 07:47Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6099999999$1000.00
10-28 07:47Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.6448412697$1000.00
10-28 07:46Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?BUY0.647087752$1.0k
10-28 07:46Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?BUY0.6507266946$1000.00
10-28 07:46Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?BUY0.6122808527$1000.00
10-28 07:46Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?BUY0.6196901547$1.0k
10-28 07:28Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.57$1.0k
10-28 07:28Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?BUY0.5731101838$1.0k
10-21 03:35Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.6299999999$1000.00
10-21 03:35Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?BUY0.5898541401$1000.00
10-21 03:35Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election?BUY0.6370001338$1.0k
10-21 03:35Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?BUY0.6352461804$1000.00
10-21 03:10Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?BUY0.6400586523$1000.00