trulyalya1
0xbf5fe8bfc9ec6e7ff7a311ea85cfc0d2901ac035
- Realised P&L
- $19.3k
- Volume
- $1.10M
- Markets traded
- 520
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded520
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.592Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
- +$3.3kat 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?
- +$3.3kat 0.255Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18?
- +$2.8kat 0.507Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
- +$2.8kat 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 07:47 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.630995535 | $995.00 |
| 10-28 07:47 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6372079456 | $1000.00 |
| 10-28 07:47 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-28 07:47 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.6448412697 | $1000.00 |
| 10-28 07:46 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.647087752 | $1.0k |
| 10-28 07:46 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6507266946 | $1000.00 |
| 10-28 07:46 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.6122808527 | $1000.00 |
| 10-28 07:46 | Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6196901547 | $1.0k |
| 10-28 07:28 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.57 | $1.0k |
| 10-28 07:28 | Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.5731101838 | $1.0k |
| 10-21 03:35 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 03:35 | Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5898541401 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 03:35 | Will Keanin Loomis win the 2026 Hamilton, Ontario mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6370001338 | $1.0k |
| 10-21 03:35 | Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6352461804 | $1000.00 |
| 10-21 03:10 | Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6400586523 | $1000.00 |