PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbf5183582e85a7184936742f2efa7b19c313524b

Realised P&L
$-196.11
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$40.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? · Yes0.0490.111$22.41+$12.41
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08? · Yes0.4001.000$12.50+$7.50
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2390.182$4.57$1.43
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.5300.190$1.08$1.92
Game Handicap: HRTS (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5) · GIANTX iTero0.2800.000$0.00$5.00
Will MrBeast say "Wife" during his next YouTube video? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$5.00
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4700.000$0.00$5.00
Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E5? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$5.00
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? · No0.4010.000$0.00$5.00
Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next YouTube video? · Yes0.1560.000$0.00$5.00
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$10.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.2480.000$0.00$5.00
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30? · No0.2770.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 20:23Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?BUY0.4$5.00
08-20 10:11Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August?BUY0.2$5.00
08-17 07:57Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5BUY0.3299999591$5.00
08-13 09:00Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
08-08 08:14Will MrBeast say "Wife" during his next YouTube video?BUY0.1082016879$5.00
08-08 08:13Will MrBeast say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his next YouTube video?BUY0.155628544$5.00
08-08 08:13Will MrBeast say "Grocery Store" during his next YouTube video?BUY0.2211538181$5.00
08-08 08:13Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribed" during his next YouTube video?BUY0.1529905026$10.00
08-08 08:13Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" or "Sponsoring" during his next YouTube video?BUY0.16$10.00
07-31 08:58Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.9259999922$5.00
07-29 14:31Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?BUY0.4009999819$5.00
07-29 14:12Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7639998833$5.00
07-29 13:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2479999667$5.00
07-29 12:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.756999983$5.00
07-27 06:08Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?BUY0.25$5.00