PolyBot

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Traders

0xbf45cc35e5ac3702cdd3abe33756ee292d896091

0xbf45cc35e5ac3702cdd3abe33756ee292d896091

Realised P&L
$-37.36
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$29.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0930.165$17.57+$7.67
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes0.0090.011$12.14+$2.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 10:45Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.0279999999$5.00
10-02 06:09Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?BUY0.0090611638$10.00
10-02 06:02Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.71$36.42
10-01 21:23Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.999$101.94
10-01 20:17Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.3702964266$19.00
10-01 19:41Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.5$10.00
10-01 17:56Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4899999944$40.00
10-01 16:43Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?SELL0.82$30.36
10-01 11:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.43$69.14
10-01 11:26Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.4309999976$69.30
10-01 08:43Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.8099999957$30.00
10-01 08:42Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4899999824$10.00
10-01 06:53Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.3346367759$100.00
10-01 06:31Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?BUY0.2399999981$10.00
10-01 06:21Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?SELL0.26$35.00