Moneymovesmaster
0xbf444f6416f4a65e6c48d8fcadb7b49666a94d45
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $286.1k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $20.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.620 | $7.3k | +$1.5k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.633 | 0.835 | $5.2k | +$1.2k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No | 0.759 | 0.945 | $4.0k | +$784.23 |
| Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · No | 0.787 | 0.955 | $3.6k | +$636.64 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.018 | $409.46 | −$1.3k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.045 | $213.76 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$662.35at 0.536Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$560.02at 0.690Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$319.31at 0.850Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$263.63at 0.441Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
- +$259.82at 0.808Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 05:02 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 06-27 03:56 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.33 | $33.00 |
| 05-31 08:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $40.98 |
| 05-23 21:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.93 |
| 05-23 21:32 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $16.00 |
| 05-04 09:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $10.15 |
| 05-04 09:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $8.21 |
| 05-04 09:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $12.82 |
| 05-04 09:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $21.46 |
| 05-04 09:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $33.53 |
| 05-04 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $54.91 |
| 05-04 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $41.26 |
| 05-04 09:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $21.73 |
| 05-04 09:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $35.56 |
| 04-27 09:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.58 | $104.62 |