goalfi
0xbf3cbaded648aee429aa7b427a202abd5300c877
- Realised P&L
- $-43.82
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $4.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET · Up | 0.970 | 0.957 | $4.78 | −$0.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10AM ET · Down | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2AM ET · Down | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET · Up | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8PM ET · Down | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5PM ET · Down | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.80 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6PM ET · Up | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET · Down | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1AM ET · Up | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.00at 0.860Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET
- +$6.58at 0.868Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8PM ET
- +$6.58at 0.868Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET
- +$6.58at 0.868Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9AM ET
- +$6.58at 0.868Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $37.31 |
| 10-31 01:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-30 23:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $38.40 |
| 10-30 23:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7PM ET | BUY | 0.9698004 | $48.49 |
| 10-30 22:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $48.00 |
| 10-30 21:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $14.62 |
| 10-30 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 10-30 18:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $48.50 |
| 10-30 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-30 17:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 10-30 16:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-30 16:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $38.03 |
| 10-30 15:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-30 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 10-30 09:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |