0xBF3bB6f86822F457Ffa3a6D309Ff63E3F5dDa87f-1782294384347
0xbf3bb6f86822f457ffa3a6d309ff63e3f5dda87f
- Realised P&L
- $5.28
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $61.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.292 | 0.305 | $36.21 | +$1.47 |
| CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.408 | 0.430 | $25.64 | +$1.30 |
| Will Argentina win the World Cup? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.06at 0.650Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.190Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?
- +$-5.00at 0.120Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 03:56 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 10-28 03:48 | CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $21.70 |
| 10-28 03:48 | CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-26 16:21 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | SELL | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 10-25 07:39 | CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $8.64 |
| 10-25 01:56 | CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |
| 10-25 01:45 | CoreWeave downgraded by Moody's or S&P by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 10-25 01:43 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 10-25 01:36 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 07-07 11:19 | Will Argentina win the World Cup? | BUY | 0.1799999694 | $4.24 |
| 06-30 06:01 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6099999516 | $4.79 |
| 06-28 07:17 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |