SharkOfSouth
0xbf3abd428ec39fa4331ef4fbc88847f935c17ccc
- Realised P&L
- $-25.67
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $73.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.950 | $73.99 | +$0.00 |
| Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$204.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.38at 0.607Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?
- +$24.24at 0.864Will AS Saint-Étienne win on 2026-05-09?
- +$19.50at 0.722Will Ja Morant be traded this season?
- +$17.05at 0.912Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10?
- +$14.27at 0.350Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:24 | Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $73.99 |
| 10-27 10:33 | Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999999 | $70.80 |
| 10-22 21:20 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9859999999 | $69.80 |
| 10-16 16:14 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.9731638133 | $68.00 |
| 10-13 19:35 | Spread: Viking FK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9509999996 | $64.50 |
| 10-09 23:50 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on October 10? | BUY | 0.9295134799 | $60.20 |
| 10-06 22:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.9840077232 | $59.50 |
| 10-05 23:15 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | SELL | 0.9881938421 | $59.70 |
| 10-02 00:03 | Will Trump visit Greenland by October 31? | BUY | 0.9699999861 | $58.60 |
| 09-29 23:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.9949999844 | $58.35 |
| 05-17 18:54 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.7599999996 | $204.30 |
| 05-17 18:43 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SELL | 0.9100352594 | $206.48 |
| 05-11 16:52 | Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.8587622702 | $194.85 |
| 05-10 20:58 | Will Philadelphia 76ers advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.9951634742 | $194.80 |
| 05-10 13:33 | Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.9099999996 | $177.27 |