PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wydsugwg

0xbf367b37b69db923e1816577cf5a5b4720f8b567

Realised P&L
$341.53
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
145
Open portfolio
$80.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded145
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9290.981$19.61+$1.03
USD1 depeg by December 31? · No0.9200.940$8.46+$0.18
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat? · Yes0.9500.970$8.24+$0.17
Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9500.915$8.23$0.32
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat? · Yes0.9400.950$8.07+$0.09
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat? · Yes0.9300.945$8.03+$0.13
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat? · No0.8600.915$7.78+$0.47
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? · No0.9700.843$7.58$1.15
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.2700.090$4.50$9.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No0.9000.000$0.00$7.65
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k0.4200.000$0.00$16.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-26 06:55Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.24$2.40
03-24 09:56Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.961$19.70
03-24 09:52 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?SELL0.954$9.54
03-24 09:52SBF released from custody in 2026?SELL0.88$8.80
03-24 09:21SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?SELL0.8$8.00
03-24 09:11Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.963$8.67
03-24 09:08Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?SELL0.921$8.29
03-24 09:04Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?SELL0.965$8.20
03-24 09:03USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.93$8.37
03-24 09:00Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?SELL0.97$8.24
03-24 08:59US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?SELL0.979$8.32
03-24 08:57Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?SELL0.992$11.90
03-24 08:55Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat?SELL0.95$8.07
03-24 08:53Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?SELL0.963$8.19
03-24 08:38Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$8.55