wydsugwg
0xbf367b37b69db923e1816577cf5a5b4720f8b567
- Realised P&L
- $341.53
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $80.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.929 | 0.981 | $19.61 | +$1.03 |
| USD1 depeg by December 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.940 | $8.46 | +$0.18 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.970 | $8.24 | +$0.17 |
| Abstract FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.915 | $8.23 | −$0.32 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.950 | $8.07 | +$0.09 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.945 | $8.03 | +$0.13 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat? · No | 0.860 | 0.915 | $7.78 | +$0.47 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $7B? · No | 0.970 | 0.843 | $7.58 | −$1.15 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes | 0.270 | 0.090 | $4.50 | −$9.00 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.65 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? · $60k | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$280.00at 0.440Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?
- +$11.70at 0.870Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 22?
- +$11.60at 0.710Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22?
- +$11.59at 0.500Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
- +$10.20at 0.660Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 06:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 03-24 09:56 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $19.70 |
| 03-24 09:52 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | SELL | 0.954 | $9.54 |
| 03-24 09:52 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 03-24 09:21 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | SELL | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 03-24 09:11 | Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.963 | $8.67 |
| 03-24 09:08 | Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | SELL | 0.921 | $8.29 |
| 03-24 09:04 | Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $8.20 |
| 03-24 09:03 | USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.93 | $8.37 |
| 03-24 09:00 | Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30? | SELL | 0.97 | $8.24 |
| 03-24 08:59 | US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31? | SELL | 0.979 | $8.32 |
| 03-24 08:57 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $11.90 |
| 03-24 08:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-17 House seat? | SELL | 0.95 | $8.07 |
| 03-24 08:53 | Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $8.19 |
| 03-24 08:38 | Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $8.55 |