mobi25
0xbf35497c58a1f705a5d3bf020e7380dbdad59598
- Realised P&L
- $130.66
- Volume
- $372.6k
- Markets traded
- 927
- Open portfolio
- $11.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded927
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.725 | $10.76 | −$2.82 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.744 | 0.170 | $0.85 | −$2.87 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.005 | $0.11 | −$0.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.78at 0.953Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?
- +$25.04at 0.750Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 6-12?
- +$17.76at 0.590Bitcoin above $97,000 on May 9?
- +$10.09at 0.748Will Solana reach $160 in April?
- +$10.05at 0.749Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 01:31 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.36 |
| 09-14 01:27 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $196 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $37.20 |
| 09-14 01:27 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 09-14 01:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 01:02 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 09-14 00:45 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $34.80 |
| 09-14 00:02 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $36.40 |
| 09-13 02:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-13 02:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-13 02:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 10:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-01 10:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 09-01 10:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 08-15 10:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 08-15 10:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |