Meander
0xbf2f94774aafb71a8bca0adc3a9b7478f9fd0a27
- Realised P&L
- $-26.72
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $113.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.565 | $68.07 | −$31.93 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.935 | $25.27 | +$5.27 |
| Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.900 | $19.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 8? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.07 |
| Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 14? · Yes | 0.702 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.48 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13? · Yes | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$58.06 |
| Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.23at 0.704Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$32.62at 0.739Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$22.26at 0.818Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?
- +$21.41at 0.728Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$18.60at 0.100Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:41 | Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9103502545 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 06:22 | Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 06:07 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 06:05 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7399999349 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 06:02 | Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections? | BUY | 0.8599999742 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 00:59 | Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7859999238 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 15:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 06-14 15:13 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.945 | $110.00 |
| 06-02 07:48 | Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 06:09 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 06:07 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.7199999539 | $10.00 |
| 05-16 10:21 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16? | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |
| 05-13 00:49 | Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $50.00 |
| 05-11 00:38 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9811740963 | $132.72 |
| 05-09 04:29 | Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website? | SELL | 0.294277 | $29.43 |