PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fafafafapolen

0xbf2f002356a589fa92eb11ae5b0b2c75d10c3d3c

Realised P&L
$-87.44
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$51.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? · Yes0.4500.405$51.26$5.70
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12? · Up0.2220.000$0.00$34.72
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5? · Yes0.1570.000$0.00$42.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$12.00
Bitcoin above 78,600 on September 11, 12PM ET? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$22.10
Bitcoin above 79,000 on September 11, 12PM ET? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 13:16Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?BUY0.024$2.32
09-11 16:01Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?BUY0.54$32.40
09-11 15:27Bitcoin above 79,000 on September 11, 12PM ET?BUY0.2$12.00
09-11 15:21Bitcoin above 78,600 on September 11, 12PM ET?BUY0.65$15.60
09-11 14:36Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?SELL0.47$44.65
09-11 14:36Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?SELL0.47$2.35
09-11 12:36Bitcoin above 77,400 on September 11, 9AM ET?SELL0.27$13.77
09-11 12:36Bitcoin above 77,400 on September 11, 9AM ET?SELL0.24$4.08
09-11 12:34Bitcoin above 77,400 on September 11, 9AM ET?SELL0.305$10.37
09-09 01:19Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8?SELL0.25$3.93
09-08 14:12Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 8?SELL0.26$26.00
09-08 07:52Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 8?BUY0.29$29.00
09-08 05:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.38$38.38
09-07 14:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?SELL0.031219$6.24
09-07 12:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 7?BUY0.16$32.00