0xbf266044814b6cce8b0ded0e0fa6f3788857eaec
- Realised P&L
- $-2.71
- Volume
- $58.99
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $3.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $650 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.400 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.380 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.205 | $0.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.265 | $0.58 | −$0.42 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.670 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?
- +$1.25at 0.620Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?
- +$1.15at 0.470Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.83at 0.550Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:24 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:17 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $650 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 05:08 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:07 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $990 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:24 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:49 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 13:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 05:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 07:26 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 08:09 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 00:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 21:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 12:29 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 10:58 | Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |