hmokthanks
0xbf21c5f53f7e875563720d008c62170ad233e0c1
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $315.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,369
- Open portfolio
- $774.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,369
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$123.77at 0.477Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 26?
- +$106.41at 0.697Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 9?
- +$101.83at 0.476Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 26?
- +$97.10at 0.211Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?
- +$96.26at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $55.06 |
| 09-18 18:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.8627689193 | $68.18 |
| 09-18 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.1496725912 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 17:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $118.82 |
| 09-18 11:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0598531031 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.3724679967 | $64.00 |
| 09-18 11:03 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.0306008789 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.063245392 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.07681229 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0031228855 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0363433721 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0717244347 | $10.00 |