PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

hmokthanks

0xbf21c5f53f7e875563720d008c62170ad233e0c1

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$315.1k
Markets traded
1,369
Open portfolio
$774.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,369
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 18? · Yes0.1131.000$213.25+$189.22
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 18? · No0.5091.000$98.12+$48.12
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 18? · Yes0.3780.999$79.18+$49.18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 18? · No0.5281.000$75.68+$35.68
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.3720.425$73.03+$9.03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19? · Yes0.0740.255$68.75+$48.75
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? · Yes0.3650.450$49.32+$9.32
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 18? · No0.6000.985$49.25+$19.25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18? · No0.6100.990$24.34+$9.34
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19? · Yes0.5800.595$15.39+$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19? · Yes0.0460.070$15.16+$5.16
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.0600.045$7.52$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 19? · Yes0.0910.070$3.80$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 18? · No0.3600.020$1.67$28.33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 19? · Yes0.0030.001$0.16$0.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:16Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18?SELL0.999$55.06
09-18 18:16Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 18?SELL0.8627689193$68.18
09-18 17:55Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on September 18?BUY0.1496725912$5.00
09-18 17:53Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 18?SELL0.999$118.82
09-18 11:39Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.001$1.00
09-18 11:39Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.001$1.00
09-18 11:19Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.0598531031$10.00
09-18 11:19Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.3724679967$64.00
09-18 11:03Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 18?BUY0.0306008789$5.00
09-18 10:57Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 19?BUY0.5799999992$15.00
09-18 10:56Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?BUY0.063245392$5.00
09-18 10:56Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.07681229$10.00
09-18 10:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 19?BUY0.0031228855$1.00
09-18 10:55Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 19?BUY0.0363433721$5.00
09-18 10:54Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 19?BUY0.0717244347$10.00