Seraphimeliana
0xbf1be45187dd9bc6b3ac0a370dd20339f1ba7333
- Realised P&L
- $-34.22
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $47.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reyer Venezia vs. Virtus Bologna · Reyer Venezia | 0.500 | 1.000 | $23.60 | +$11.80 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz · Doosan Bears | 0.500 | 0.525 | $13.76 | +$0.66 |
| Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Ntunda · Ntunda | 0.500 | 0.500 | $9.85 | +$0.00 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.05 |
| Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty · Washington Mystics | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.35 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire · PortlandFire | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.57 |
| JCL T20: Rising Stars CC vs Wyverns CC · Wyverns CC | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.85 |
| Wimbledon Juniors, Girls (Doubles): Burcescu/Skliar vs Frodin/Revathi · Burcescu/Skliar | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.30 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 21, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.33 |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp · Hiroshima Carp | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.15 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.75 |
| T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Uganda · Hong Kong, China | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.60 |
| KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos · Kiwoom Heroes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.63at 0.510Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$26.90at 0.510Solana Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$26.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$24.61at 0.504XRP Up or Down - December 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
- +$24.02at 0.510Solana Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 04:04 | Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Sussex Women vs Middlesex Women | BUY | 0.5 | $11.15 |
| 07-27 02:20 | German Super League Hamburg T10: Kummerfelder Sportverein vs United XI Jagerhof | BUY | 0.5 | $9.95 |
| 07-24 02:44 | T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Uganda | BUY | 0.5 | $6.60 |
| 07-22 02:05 | Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Hiroshima Carp | BUY | 0.5 | $5.85 |
| 07-20 02:20 | KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz | BUY | 0.5 | $13.10 |
| 07-15 02:24 | T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Galle Gallants | BUY | 0.5 | $10.80 |
| 07-13 02:22 | MLP San Diego: Atlanta Bouncers vs Dallas Flash | BUY | 0.5 | $8.20 |
| 07-06 04:12 | Wimbledon Juniors, Girls (Doubles): Burcescu/Skliar vs Frodin/Revathi | BUY | 0.5 | $7.30 |
| 07-04 02:25 | Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 06-30 01:46 | Senegal vs. Madagascar | BUY | 0.5 | $10.20 |
| 06-27 02:21 | Jordan vs. Iran | BUY | 0.5 | $9.70 |
| 06-25 02:12 | Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.5 | $11.55 |
| 06-23 01:54 | KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. NC Dinos | BUY | 0.5 | $9.70 |
| 06-19 01:38 | KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Hanwha Eagles | BUY | 0.5 | $10.85 |
| 06-13 02:45 | MLP St. Petersburg: Miami Pickleball Club vs Palm Beach Royals | BUY | 0.5 | $12.70 |