Seraphimeliana
0xbf1be45187dd9bc6b3ac0a370dd20339f1ba7333
- Realised P&L
- $-54.97
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $75.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reyer Venezia vs. Virtus Bologna · Reyer Venezia | 0.500 | 1.000 | $23.60 | +$11.80 |
| Yevtodii Iolanta vs. Budnyk Roksolana · Yevtodii Iolanta | 0.500 | 0.996 | $19.61 | +$9.76 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. KT Wiz · Doosan Bears | 0.500 | 0.565 | $14.80 | +$1.70 |
| Mukono Super Smash T20: Bussana vs Ntunda · Ntunda | 0.500 | 0.500 | $9.85 | +$0.00 |
| KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions · Doosan Bears | 0.500 | 0.500 | $7.15 | +$0.00 |
| US Open WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Wang/Xu · Wang/Xu | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Wei Chuan Dragons vs. Fubon Guardians · Wei Chuan Dragons | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz · KT Wiz | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.05 |
| KFC T20 Max: Wynnum-Manly vs University of Queensland · Wynnum-Manly | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| Washington Mystics vs. New York Liberty · Washington Mystics | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.35 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire · PortlandFire | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.57 |
| San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets · San Diego Padres | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.25 |
| JCL T20: Rising Stars CC vs Wyverns CC · Wyverns CC | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.85 |
| Wimbledon Juniors, Girls (Doubles): Burcescu/Skliar vs Frodin/Revathi · Burcescu/Skliar | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.44at 0.531Solana Up or Down - January 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$33.90at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
- +$33.63at 0.510Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$27.45at 0.539Belmont Bruins vs. Illinois State Redbirds
- +$26.90at 0.510Solana Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 02:04 | Rotari Alexei vs. Turcanu Roman | BUY | 0.5 | $7.10 |
| 09-10 02:19 | TSG Hawks vs. Fubon Guardians | BUY | 0.5 | $12.20 |
| 09-06 02:31 | Wei Chuan Dragons vs. Fubon Guardians | BUY | 0.5 | $8.90 |
| 09-04 03:02 | US Open WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Wang/Xu | BUY | 0.5 | $4.95 |
| 08-27 02:21 | Cape Verde vs. Guinea | BUY | 0.5 | $12.05 |
| 08-21 06:25 | Bondarchuk Oleksandr vs. Ivchuk Oleksandr | BUY | 0.5 | $9.85 |
| 08-18 04:16 | Cancun (Doubles): Rojer/Winegar vs Hernandez/Pacheco | BUY | 0.5 | $7.20 |
| 08-14 02:53 | San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.5 | $10.25 |
| 08-12 03:23 | Iurcenco Iuri vs. Gribcov Dmitri | BUY | 0.5 | $12.70 |
| 08-10 02:01 | KBO: LG Twins vs. Kiwoom Heroes | BUY | 0.5 | $5.65 |
| 08-05 02:40 | KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions | BUY | 0.5 | $7.15 |
| 08-03 09:36 | Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Worcestershire Women vs Glamorgan Women | BUY | 0.5 | $12.30 |
| 08-01 04:04 | Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Sussex Women vs Middlesex Women | BUY | 0.5 | $11.15 |
| 07-27 02:20 | German Super League Hamburg T10: Kummerfelder Sportverein vs United XI Jagerhof | BUY | 0.5 | $9.95 |
| 07-24 02:44 | T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Uganda | BUY | 0.5 | $6.60 |