qijfe
0xbf0c8b4d43d086257a71ce4ad2b639d864473f75
- Realised P&L
- $-4.09
- Volume
- $949.15
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $46.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.245 | $45.80 | +$2.80 |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.070 | $0.32 | −$0.84 |
| Heat vs. Celtics · Heat | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.33 |
| Wild vs. Avalanche · Wild | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.25 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.28 |
| Panthers vs. Devils · Panthers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.07 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Knicks vs. Clippers · Knicks | 0.559 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.37 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Raptors vs. Magic · Raptors | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.89at 0.630Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$2.32at 0.810Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$1.28at 0.610Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
- +$0.70at 0.741Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
- +$0.62at 0.890No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 07:47 | Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2299999997 | $43.00 |
| 09-13 09:02 | Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | BUY | 0.2489999753 | $1.16 |
| 05-05 12:21 | Wild vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.3599998387 | $1.25 |
| 05-02 15:55 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.56 |
| 03-09 08:15 | Knicks vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.5590014669 | $1.37 |
| 03-03 06:43 | Panthers vs. Devils | BUY | 0.5099998189 | $1.07 |
| 03-01 10:46 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 03-01 03:23 | Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.3659998982 | $1.28 |
| 02-28 19:56 | Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | BUY | 0.3299999228 | $1.88 |
| 02-15 15:38 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 15:38 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 15:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 02-06 10:08 | Heat vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.2999998647 | $1.33 |
| 01-30 17:50 | Raptors vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 10:40 | Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | BUY | 0.7409999948 | $2.00 |