PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qijfe

0xbf0c8b4d43d086257a71ce4ad2b639d864473f75

Realised P&L
$-4.09
Volume
$949.15
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$46.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? · Yes0.2300.245$45.80+$2.80
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? · Yes0.2490.070$0.32−$0.84
Heat vs. Celtics · Heat0.3000.000$0.00−$1.33
Wild vs. Avalanche · Wild0.3600.000$0.00−$1.25
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? · Yes0.3660.000$0.00−$1.28
Panthers vs. Devils · Panthers0.5100.000$0.00−$1.07
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.70
Knicks vs. Clippers · Knicks0.5590.000$0.00−$1.37
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$4.00
Raptors vs. Magic · Raptors0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$1.88

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 07:47Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?BUY0.2299999997$43.00
09-13 09:02Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?BUY0.2489999753$1.16
05-05 12:21Wild vs. AvalancheBUY0.3599998387$1.25
05-02 15:55Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.29$0.56
03-09 08:15Knicks vs. ClippersBUY0.5590014669$1.37
03-03 06:43Panthers vs. DevilsBUY0.5099998189$1.07
03-01 10:46Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.28$2.24
03-01 03:23Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?BUY0.3659998982$1.28
02-28 19:56Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?BUY0.3299999228$1.88
02-15 15:38Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
02-15 15:38Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
02-15 15:34Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?BUY0.003$1.00
02-06 10:08Heat vs. CelticsBUY0.2999998647$1.33
01-30 17:50Raptors vs. MagicBUY0.4599997608$1.00
01-14 10:40Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?BUY0.7409999948$2.00