PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xbEF80509898BDb2Ba55c158d9bf032e92c450c3F-1771948756418

0xbef80509898bdb2ba55c158d9bf032e92c450c3f

Realised P&L
$46.79
Volume
$9.9k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$155.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19? · No0.7700.805$15.68+$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19? · Yes0.6400.585$15.54$1.46
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 19? · Yes0.3590.340$15.30$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18? · Yes0.6740.575$12.83$2.22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19? · Yes0.6300.655$10.40+$0.40
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 20? · No0.7300.730$10.21+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20? · No0.5300.635$9.89+$1.63
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 19? · Yes0.4400.290$9.89$5.11
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 19? · Yes0.5050.420$8.40$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20? · No0.6800.735$8.31+$0.62
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19? · Yes0.4000.405$8.10+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.5300.535$5.34+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 20? · Yes0.6300.625$4.96$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? · Yes0.6700.655$4.89$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.4800.445$4.64$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 17:50Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.36$14.40
09-18 17:50Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.35$1.75
09-18 17:49Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 19?BUY0.64$17.00
09-18 17:46Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19?BUY0.4$8.00
09-18 17:42Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?BUY0.6699999611$5.00
09-18 15:28Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.599999976$5.00
09-18 15:23Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 20?BUY0.629999995$5.00
09-18 15:21Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 20?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
09-18 15:20Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 20?BUY0.53$8.25
09-18 15:20Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on September 19?BUY0.4399999883$15.00
09-18 15:20Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 19?BUY0.7699999795$15.00
09-18 15:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?BUY0.4799999846$5.00
09-18 15:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20?BUY0.68$7.68
09-18 15:18Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19?BUY0.64$5.00
09-18 14:53Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 18?BUY0.6831682776$5.00