0xbef454ad8cb00ee9667dfccfc3047a70b4a4f475
0xbef454ad8cb00ee9667dfccfc3047a70b4a4f475
- Realised P&L
- $0.05
- Volume
- $107.72
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $2.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.800 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.645 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.48at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
- +$1.77at 0.389SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
- +$1.49at 0.432Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September?
- +$1.29at 0.460Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:01 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:11 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 01:36 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 17:26 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 09:25 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:14 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 05:08 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:05 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:07 | Will Trump say "Economy" or "Economic" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.329999934 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 22:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.4199999389 | $1.10 |
| 09-23 14:38 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999651 | $1.10 |