0xbef059784f61eee6f7c9b7fce607737e99375d0a
0xbef059784f61eee6f7c9b7fce607737e99375d0a
- Realised P&L
- $-5.83
- Volume
- $47.50
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $2.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.984 | $1.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.075 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.055 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.86at 0.350US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.98at 0.510Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$0.62at 0.620Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$0.38at 0.728Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?
- +$0.34at 0.748Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 07:09 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 22:00 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:47 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 16:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 06:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 17:04 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 07:03 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 22:22 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 14:19 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 21:35 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 00:50 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 07:51 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.5919998248 | $1.00 |
| 08-22 10:44 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 18:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 10:04 | Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |