PolyBot

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Traders

0xbef059784f61eee6f7c9b7fce607737e99375d0a

0xbef059784f61eee6f7c9b7fce607737e99375d0a

Realised P&L
$-5.83
Volume
$47.50
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$2.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes0.6400.984$1.54+$0.54
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.2500.075$0.30$0.70
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.2400.055$0.23$0.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 07:09Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-20 22:00Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
09-19 06:47Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.64$1.00
09-03 16:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
09-02 06:38Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
09-01 17:04Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
09-01 07:03Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-29 22:22Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
08-29 14:19Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?BUY0.33999983$1.00
08-28 21:35Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
08-24 00:50Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $205 Week of August 24 2026?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
08-23 07:51Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?BUY0.5919998248$1.00
08-22 10:44Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?BUY0.719999856$1.00
08-21 18:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-21 10:04Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.5$1.00