PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xbee5F2DfAe8cDBd04e5a540015dd88542Bfd0341-1760035908576

0xbee5f2dfae8cdbd04e5a540015dd88542bfd0341

Realised P&L
$48.34
Volume
$429.93
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$91.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.6900.875$63.00+$13.33
Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%? · Under0.7001.000$28.56+$8.56
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$5.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4050.000$0.00$2.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-31 20:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.529999965$5.00
08-31 20:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETBUY0.5$5.00
08-31 20:48Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Over/Under 31%?BUY0.699999993$20.00
08-27 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSELL0.99$5.15
08-27 18:18Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.96$5.00
08-27 15:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETSELL0.14$1.79
08-27 15:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETBUY0.3899999774$5.00
08-27 14:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.6299999811$5.00
08-27 09:06Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-03 18:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.2399999674$5.00
08-03 18:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.359999977$5.00
07-18 17:35Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETBUY0.6599998733$5.00
07-18 17:34Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4049999368$2.50
05-23 17:39Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.7099999998$29.67
05-23 17:39Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.7099999815$10.00