Format
0xbedad196ce4ea3702b13bd3509fcb658d36c82f1
- Realised P&L
- $-27.26
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $30.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? · Yes | 0.982 | 0.983 | $20.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.985 | $10.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$850.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$50.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$27.62at 0.420Will Ethereum hit $3,400 in December?
- +$8.67at 0.870MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?
- +$1.38at 0.420Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 17:25 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | BUY | 0.9819999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 17:25 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | BUY | 0.98368748 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 17:25 | Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | BUY | 0.9819999986 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 20:59 | Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $25.00 |
| 05-24 20:58 | Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 05-24 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25? | BUY | 0.84 | $2.00 |
| 05-24 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 05-24 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 25? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 05-24 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 25? | BUY | 0.8789998378 | $2.00 |
| 04-04 11:29 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $100.00 |
| 04-04 11:25 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.2k |
| 03-29 12:28 | Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.2k |
| 10-19 17:11 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 17:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 01-05 13:32 | Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |