PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

e4fds4

0xbed9183f7185d14f3a1bb9071325b3392cbe2443

Realised P&L
$-791.40
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
114
Open portfolio
$5.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded114
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? · Yes0.1100.019$3.38−$15.68
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 1? · Yes0.0750.009$2.35−$16.37
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$4.59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? · No0.0570.000$0.00−$4.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$28.60
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$9.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 9? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$63.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 8? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$4.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 29? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$17.52
Bitcoin above 78,000 on August 23, 6PM ET? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$9.81
Bitcoin above 63,600 on August 13, 7PM ET? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$15.00
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$21.28
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 14? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$1.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on September 20? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$18.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 11:45Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1?BUY0.11$6.45
10-01 08:44Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 1?BUY0.0755515599$18.72
09-30 20:27Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30?BUY0.055$14.96
09-29 18:45Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 29?BUY0.06$14.07
09-29 17:10Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 29?BUY0.0305346601$17.52
09-28 16:01Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 28?BUY0.0529999999$17.06
09-28 15:56Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 28?BUY0.16$34.47
09-27 14:56Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 27?BUY0.0983806226$51.94
09-27 14:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ETSELL0.991$55.99
09-27 14:12Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ETBUY0.5699999993$32.21
09-27 13:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ETBUY0.4899999919$16.32
09-27 11:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7AM ETBUY0.6099999882$10.34
09-25 11:48Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25?BUY0.1399999998$17.06
09-23 17:15Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 23?BUY0.1065737048$10.00
09-23 15:41Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 23?BUY0.2409999997$67.54