e4fds4
0xbed9183f7185d14f3a1bb9071325b3392cbe2443
- Realised P&L
- $-791.40
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $5.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.47at 0.133Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on August 20?
- +$128.57at 0.447Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on August 25?
- +$117.15at 0.288Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 24?
- +$101.05at 0.187Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?
- +$98.79at 0.179Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 11:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.11 | $6.45 |
| 10-01 08:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.0755515599 | $18.72 |
| 09-30 20:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.055 | $14.96 |
| 09-29 18:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.06 | $14.07 |
| 09-29 17:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.0305346601 | $17.52 |
| 09-28 16:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0529999999 | $17.06 |
| 09-28 15:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.16 | $34.47 |
| 09-27 14:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.0983806226 | $51.94 |
| 09-27 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ET | SELL | 0.991 | $55.99 |
| 09-27 14:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999993 | $32.21 |
| 09-27 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999919 | $16.32 |
| 09-27 11:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 7AM ET | BUY | 0.6099999882 | $10.34 |
| 09-25 11:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $17.06 |
| 09-23 17:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.1065737048 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 15:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.2409999997 | $67.54 |