Fergo07
0xbed7ca5224dc7d145c722a1f9cd9d8926ee8887d
- Realised P&L
- $141.21
- Volume
- $132.3k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $2.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.29at 0.023Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$74.96at 0.011Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$37.65at 0.455Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$37.55at 0.014Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$33.20at 0.013Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:10 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.026 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 14:39 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.45 |
| 09-13 14:01 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.032 | $1.03 |
| 09-13 13:34 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.55 |
| 09-13 13:32 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 09-13 13:31 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.031 | $5.08 |
| 09-13 13:13 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.13 |
| 09-13 13:12 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.028 | $7.81 |
| 09-13 13:12 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.028 | $3.47 |
| 09-12 15:00 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.93 |
| 09-08 22:51 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.60 |
| 09-08 22:51 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.80 |
| 09-08 21:17 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.98 |
| 09-08 21:09 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.019 | $3.99 |
| 09-08 20:51 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.77 |