PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Fergo07

0xbed7ca5224dc7d145c722a1f9cd9d8926ee8887d

Realised P&L
$141.21
Volume
$132.3k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$2.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.175$2.45−$1.19
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.0110.001$0.12−$2.53
Will Elena Rybakina be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$6.30
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$8.00
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$2.10
Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$9.20
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · Yes0.1260.000$0.00−$2.65
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00−$6.77
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe · Lorenzo Musetti0.2700.000$0.00−$1.89
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00−$1.89
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$1.60
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open? · Yes0.1530.000$0.00−$1.84
Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Anastasia Potapova · Anastasia Potapova0.1200.000$0.00−$1.80
Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$14.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:10Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.026$1.03
09-13 14:39Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.03$1.45
09-13 14:01Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.032$1.03
09-13 13:34Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.027$0.55
09-13 13:32Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.03$1.50
09-13 13:31Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.031$5.08
09-13 13:13Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.026$0.13
09-13 13:12Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.028$7.81
09-13 13:12Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.028$3.47
09-12 15:00Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.026$0.93
09-08 22:51Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.02$0.60
09-08 22:51Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.02$0.80
09-08 21:17Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.02$0.98
09-08 21:09Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.019$3.99
09-08 20:51Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?SELL0.004$0.77