hkhjl3
0xbed485fc2dcf4b055cf0ad1f71c98354bc89f2ff
- Realised P&L
- $7.36
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $35.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.952 | 0.975 | $35.08 | +$0.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.02at 0.821Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 8?
- +$0.57at 0.979Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 26?
- +$0.56at 0.972Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?
- +$0.49at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 14?
- +$0.48at 0.983Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 10:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.952 | $34.27 |
| 09-19 08:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.986 | $33.52 |
| 09-14 14:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 14? | BUY | 0.992 | $33.73 |
| 09-13 07:25 | Will XRP dip to $1.30 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.986 | $33.52 |
| 09-11 03:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.994 | $32.80 |
| 09-08 15:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 8? | BUY | 0.81 | $22.68 |
| 09-08 03:44 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.94 |
| 09-07 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.94 |
| 08-31 16:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $27.66 |
| 08-30 16:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.86 |
| 08-29 03:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.993 | $26.81 |
| 08-28 15:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $26.89 |
| 08-28 02:04 | Will Solana reach $115 on August 27? | BUY | 0.989 | $26.70 |
| 08-27 13:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.988 | $26.68 |
| 08-27 09:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27? | SELL | 0.957 | $25.84 |