0xBEd03391979811CF85EEe95cCF5EadE3397De918-1767773066074
0xbed03391979811cf85eee95ccf5eade3397de918
- Realised P&L
- $163.83
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $269.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.86at 0.383Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
- +$20.70at 0.640Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$16.53at 0.532Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
- +$13.35at 0.316Will "Minions & Monsters" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 20m?
- +$12.86at 0.839Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:18 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.293 | $1.46 |
| 08-05 18:18 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.292 | $1.46 |
| 08-05 18:17 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.302 | $3.02 |
| 08-05 17:53 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.315 | $3.15 |
| 08-05 17:53 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.315 | $3.15 |
| 08-05 11:59 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.384 | $5.76 |
| 08-05 06:39 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.392 | $3.14 |
| 08-05 03:36 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.403 | $10.08 |
| 08-05 03:27 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.388 | $7.76 |
| 08-04 20:23 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.48 | $8.64 |
| 08-04 20:10 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.479 | $8.19 |
| 08-04 19:42 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.479 | $7.18 |
| 08-04 15:35 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.401 | $4.01 |
| 08-04 15:00 | Will "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 30m? | BUY | 0.401 | $4.01 |
| 08-03 15:50 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $68.48 |