0xBEd03391979811CF85EEe95cCF5EadE3397De918-1767773066074
0xbed03391979811cf85eee95ccf5eade3397de918
- Realised P&L
- $300.30
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $164.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$254.66at 0.188Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$127.78at 0.096Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
- +$64.76at 0.634Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
- +$60.26at 0.389Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?
- +$21.46at 0.084Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:07 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-23 21:05 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.64 | $9.60 |
| 09-23 15:39 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 09-22 12:15 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | SELL | 0.63 | $25.20 |
| 09-20 16:18 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-20 08:48 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.3 | $4.50 |
| 09-20 08:48 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.50 |
| 09-20 07:56 | Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.52 |
| 09-19 21:26 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | SELL | 0.64 | $23.12 |
| 09-19 21:24 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.83 |
| 09-19 15:58 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | SELL | 0.501 | $18.09 |
| 09-19 15:57 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | SELL | 0.501 | $50.10 |
| 09-19 15:57 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? | SELL | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 09-19 15:53 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-19 07:33 | Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |