0xbEcf69de8ee17ee2A8BDD1dAeA238E57674E6Ee1-1768481368554
0xbecf69de8ee17ee2a8bdd1daea238e57674e6ee1
- Realised P&L
- $-96.64
- Volume
- $17.7k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $92.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.760 | 0.855 | $90.55 | +$10.06 |
| Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.985 | 0.951 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.985 | 0.933 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 2? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season · Alter Ego | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.81 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23? · Down | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.732 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.76 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on day 2?
- +$6.97at 0.930Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?
- +$6.01at 0.943Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
- +$5.96at 0.944Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$5.49at 0.901Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 22:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7599999981 | $80.49 |
| 08-26 14:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8779999997 | $72.00 |
| 08-25 03:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.585 | $74.61 |
| 08-22 01:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7699999996 | $98.20 |
| 08-17 00:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.94 | $118.00 |
| 07-06 09:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.938999998 | $99.00 |
| 07-06 09:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | SELL | 0.78 | $93.60 |
| 07-03 21:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.75 | $90.00 |
| 06-11 12:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 13:38 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season | SELL | 0.981 | $196.20 |
| 05-17 13:28 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Virtus.pro vs Verso Time (BO3) - MLBB Continental Championships Regular Season | SELL | 0.98 | $215.60 |
| 05-17 11:54 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 05-17 11:53 | Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.94 |
| 05-17 11:48 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season | BUY | 0.005 | $1.25 |
| 05-17 11:48 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season | BUY | 0.005 | $1.25 |