apostadormil
0xbebe06983927e870b2063390ddbebd83769572e1
- Realised P&L
- $206.10
- Volume
- $373.3k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $4.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.566Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$2.4kat 0.258US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.273Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$602.03at 0.453US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$577.37at 0.722Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:25 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.1k |
| 09-13 22:30 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.69 | $102.84 |
| 09-10 15:14 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.31 | $90.51 |
| 09-10 15:03 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.43 |
| 09-02 21:43 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | BUY | 0.27 | $198.16 |
| 09-02 20:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.7 | $662.34 |
| 09-01 02:52 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | BUY | 0.2838641341 | $200.00 |
| 06-21 00:08 | Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $2.29 |
| 06-19 01:40 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.6099184154 | $4.7k |
| 06-19 00:37 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.1k |
| 06-19 00:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.0k |
| 06-18 20:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.0k |
| 06-16 22:16 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $960.00 |
| 06-15 00:34 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 23:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.28 | $280.00 |