PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdfsww3

0xbeb68b0dbe170b7ee6e7c42339dfd68c45806e43

Realised P&L
$6.97
Volume
$15.1k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$12.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? · No0.5000.807$8.07+$3.07
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C or higher on October 10? · Yes0.5000.193$4.70−$7.48
Virginia Tech vs. Boston College: O/U 30.5 · Under0.5000.000$0.00−$14.55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 5? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.43
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 14? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$22.50
Will Meta (META) close above $640 on June 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 00:53Navy vs. UAB: O/U 31.5BUY0.97$5.24
09-01 01:36Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 1?BUY0.996$693.22
09-01 01:34Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 1?BUY0.996$1.0k
09-01 01:33Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 1?BUY0.996$796.80
07-13 02:33Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 14?BUY0.9850383562$7.19
07-07 14:34Spread: Egypt (-1.5)BUY0.985$9.97
07-01 14:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 Week of June 29 2026?BUY0.984$16.56
06-22 11:00Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 23?BUY0.976$23.41
06-11 01:09Spread: South Africa (-2.5)BUY0.997$8.91
05-25 00:33Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 26?BUY0.964$12.34
05-22 00:23S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 22?BUY0.95$16.15
05-08 02:01Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on May 9?BUY0.96$11.49
04-20 11:22Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5BUY0.92$6.41
04-15 14:03Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?BUY0.9589796748$4.7k